China, India, Brazil key global players by 2030
Grazie a Luca Martucci che ha segnatalo questo articolo: Washington, Dec 10 — Asia will have surpassed North America and Europe combined in terms of global power by 2030 with China, India and Brazil becoming especially important to the global economy, according to a new US intelligence assessment.
“The diffusion of power among countries will have a dramatic impact by 2030,” says the fifth instalment in the US National Intelligence Council’s series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future released here Monday.
The report “Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds,” released by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, the apex body of 16 US intelligence agencies, says China alone will probably have the largest economy, surpassing that of the United States a few years before 2030.
“In a tectonic shift, the health of the global economy increasingly will be linked to how well the developing world does-more so than the traditional West,” the report said.
“In addition to China, India, and Brazil, regional players such as Colombia, Indonesia, Nigeria, South Africa, and Turkey will become especially important to the global economy.
“Meanwhile, the economies of Europe, Japan, and Russia are likely to continue their slow relative declines,” the report said.